Hostinger-safe public export

Hostile-Countries

CSSP Mfuma public module.

latest.json

State actor risk profiles

What this shows

Foreign-state and state-linked military, diplomatic, economic, informational, resource, legal, data and health pressure patterns.

Why it matters

These patterns can weaken bargaining power, hide external responsibility, shape narratives, lock resources and reduce civilian protection.

How to use it

Treat scores as evidence-gated risk hypotheses. Check sources, uncertainty and correction pathway.

Public/static boundary: this page renders readable public guidance only. JSON is available for integration; raw evidence, protected contributors, exact sensitive locations and backend workflows are not exposed here.

Download public JSON

France

Evidence-gated profile for French military, monetary, diplomatic, informational and resource-influence patterns affecting African sovereign capability. The profile should distinguish documented defence agreements, base withdrawals/retentions, CFA/franc-zone monetary constraints, corporate resource interests and narrative pressure from unverified claims.

United States

Evidence-gated profile for US military/security cooperation, AFRICOM posture, sanctions/pressure tools, digital/cloud dependency, health/biosafety partnerships and data-sovereignty risks. The public profile must separate official security-cooperation claims from capability-transfer outcomes and civilian-protection risks.

United Arab Emirates

Evidence-gated profile for UAE-linked logistics, finance, gold/resource networks, port infrastructure and alleged proxy-conflict sponsorship patterns affecting African civilian protection and sovereignty. Any terrorism/armed-group sponsorship classification requires legal review and direct source linkage.

Belgium

State-policy pressure profile for Belgium, focused on Congo colonial history, resource extraction legacy, memory/reparations, archives and contemporary diplomatic/economic influence.

United Kingdom

Evidence-gated profile for UK-linked finance, legal, military-training, sanctions, offshore and narrative-influence patterns. The profile is currently provisional and needs stronger source-linked case records before any hard public finding.

European Union / EU-linked institutions

Evidence-gated profile for EU-level policy pressure, aid/trade conditionality, migration externalization, regulatory dependency and narrative influence affecting African public policy choices.

Qatar

Evidence-gated profile for labour rights, religious/soft-power influence, investment leverage and security diplomacy involving African states and workers. The primary public-risk focus is protection of African and other migrant workers, recruitment chains, wage theft/coercion, reform gaps, soft-power influence and investment dependencies.

Canada

Profile for Canadian mining/corporate-state influence in African resource sectors, including due diligence, tax, environmental and community-protection risks.

Saudi Arabia

Profile for labor rights, religious/soft-power influence, investment leverage and security diplomacy involving African states and workers.

China

Evidence-gated profile for Chinese infrastructure, debt, resource-for-infrastructure, digital infrastructure and industrial-transfer patterns. Assessment must distinguish useful capability transfer from debt, procurement, maintenance or data/control dependency.

Israel

Starter profile for security technology, surveillance, arms/training and diplomatic-pressure patterns. Adverse scoring must be tied to verified contracts, deployments, rights impacts and local accountability safeguards.

Russia

Recalibrated evidence-gated profile for Russian state-linked, private military/security, arms, media and resource-security patterns in Africa. Russia should not be scored as if it has the same long African colonial administration, monetary-control, sanctions, base-network and treaty-capture pattern as France, the United States or the United Kingdom. The risk is real but different: opportunistic security dependency, Wagner/Africa Corps or contractor-linked abuses, resource-security bundles, information influence, arms dependency, elite protection, weak accountability and racism/xenophobia risk affecting Africans in Russia or Russian-controlled environments.

Ukraine

Starter profile for Ukraine-linked African risk questions. It should focus only on documented state actions, security/diplomatic positioning, arms-flow risks, public statements and verified incidents. The evidence base is currently too thin for strong adverse scoring.

Italy

Profile for migration-security-energy pressure around North Africa, the Sahel and Mediterranean routes.

Germany

Profile for German development, migration, resource, climate and historical-reparations interfaces affecting African states.

Switzerland

Profile for commodity trading, gold, finance and legal-structuring interfaces affecting African resource value retention.

Türkiye

Starter profile for Turkish defence, infrastructure, education/religious soft-power and trade patterns. Evidence is insufficient for strong adverse scoring without country-specific case files.

Spain

Profile for migration, fisheries, Ceuta/Melilla, Western Sahara-adjacent diplomacy and Mediterranean pressure patterns.

Netherlands

Profile for tax, trade, port/logistics, development and corporate structuring interfaces affecting African value retention.

India

Profile for India-Africa relations: potential South-South cooperation, pharmaceuticals and education, with risks around trade imbalance, data, labor and elite capture.

South Africa state/corporate regional power profile

African regional-power profile. Not hostile by default, but must assess corporate expansion, xenophobic violence, regional security and whether Pan-African obligations are met.

Brazil

Profile for Brazil-Africa South-South relations: potentially useful cooperation, but agriculture, land, corporate and diplomatic asymmetries require review.

Public dataset

22 sanitized public records are available in the JSON export.